I would say you are correct thinking its a vacuum problem. On my '98 Safari, I had the same problem and found a plastic vacuum line inside the engine compartment had touched something hot and melted a small hole in it. I was able to cut the bad part out of the vacuum line and splice it with a small piece of rubber hose whose inside diameter was just smaller than the ouside diameter of the vacuum line. It's been running for two years with no further problems.
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my '98 safari only sends air out the dash (defrost) vents and the vents at the feet of front and rear passenger seats
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